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  • Research
    • Climate
    • Ecosystems and Biodiversity
    • Energy
    • Environment and Health
    • Food Systems Transformation
    • Global Finance and Economy
    • Infrastructure Systems
    • Land, Society and Governance
    • Multidisciplinary research
    • Leverhulme Centre for Nature Recovery
    • TABLE
    • All ECI research projects
  • About
    • About us
    • Contact us
    • Job opportunities
  • Study
    • MSc in Environmental Change and Policy
    • Doctoral studies
    • IFSTAL – food systems training
  • People
    • Academic, research & support staff
    • Honorary Research Associates and Affiliates
  • News & Events
    • News and Blogs
    • Events
  • Publications
    • Publications
    • Reports and Policy Briefs

Uncertainty and Decision Analysis

Advancing the fundamentals of decision-making under uncertainty

 

Overview

We are at the forefront of methods for decision making under deep uncertainty. We are concerned about the robustness of decisions to unexpected future changes that may be associated with climate change or profound socio-economic changes. We have developed methods for adaptive planning and robustness analysis that can help to cope with these uncertainties. We are enthusiasts for sensitivity analysis of model outputs.

Projects

Many cargo ships navigating the Suez Canal, Egypt.

Gallagher Research Centre: Global Ports, Shipping and Supply Chain Analysis

Bringing together academic researchers and industry experts in modeling, big data, and reinsurance, this initiative aims to advance methods in systemic risk modeling to better inform industry and policymakers on how to build more resilient trade networks in an increasingly volatile world.

Oxford Martin Programme on Systemic Resilience

The Systemic Resilience Initiative aims to advance practical solutions to manage shocks with the potential for major and prolonged economic disruption, severe human or economic impacts, and contagion. It brings together academics specialising in biophysical modelling, risk analysis, transboundary resources and infrastructure, development, disaster preparedness and economics to reflect the high complexity and interdependencies of the systems involved.

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The ECI is an interdisciplinary unit within the University of Oxford’s School of Geography and the Environment.
Phone: +44 (0) 1865 275848
Email: enquiries@eci.ox.ac.uk
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