Environmental Change Institute, University of Oxford

ECI's climate research focuses on climate prediction, detection and attribution, as well as climate risk assessment and modelling of climate impacts. ECI hosts UKCIP (the UK Climate Impacts Programme), which promotes and enables adaptation in government and business.


Climate Science

The Global Climate Science programme looks at the attribution of climate change, climate model uncertainties, and the carbon cycle.

Projects +

Impacts and Adaptation

The Impacts and Adaption work focuses on climate impacts on flooding risks and infrastructure systems, and adaptation strategies in the the UK and globally.

Projects +


The Mitigation research investigates how to reduce energy demand and decarbonise the UK energy infrastructure.

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The ECI participates in international climate policy and manages the formal UNFCCC registration process on behalf of the University of Oxford. Opportunities are open to all members of the University of Oxford.

Climate news

22/11/22 22 November 2022 -
Image: robu_s / Adobe Stock
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A new World Emissions Clock aims to increase climate action with improved projections Land use emissions estimation data from the Environmental Change Institute is being used to assist in providing projections for a new World Emissions Clock. It's hoped these calculations will inform investment decisions and speed up efforts for global climate security.
17/11/22 17 November 2022 -
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Can the world feed 8bn people sustainably? Dr Tara Garnett, of Oxford University's Environmental Change Institute, explores the dietary changes needed to feed 8 billion people sustainably. She argues that widespread dietary change cannot be achieved by focusing on individuals. 'Stop blaming the individual is one point I would make. There is a much greater role for government leadership and the food industry to play.'
07/11/22 7 November 2022 -
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100 Most Influential People in Climate 2022 Apolitical has featured Kate Raworth and Myles Allen from the Environmental Change Institute, and Sam Fankhauser and Ben Caldecott from the Oxford Smith School on their annual list of climate luminaries.
05/10/22 5 October 2022 -
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Shining a light on energy's zero carbon future In a new film and long read article, the Oxford Martin School explores how its Programme on Integrating Renewable Energy has been working towards a future for the energy system that is not just about reaching net zero, but that is about delivering a high quality of life for everyone: a future with clean and efficient transport, affordable domestic energy, and life-enhancing benefits. The programme's interdisciplinary team includes several researchers from SoGE.

In order to adapt to, or address loss and damage from, the changing risks of extreme events occurring we need to understand the effect of climate change on such events.

Friederike Otto, et al (2015), Attribution of extreme weather events in Africa: a preliminary exploration of the science and policy implications Climatic Change

Every business aspiring to a long-term existence must have a plan for when net emissions are zero. Even if the Paris warming target of ‘well below 2C’ is not achieved, carbon dioxide emissions must nevertheless decline to net zero for Earth to stop warming.

Professor Myles Allen, Letter, Financial Times

Latest publications

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Climate Programme staff

Dr Selam Kidane AbebeDr Selam Kidane AbebeSenior Research Fellow in Net Zero Law
Professor Myles AllenProfessor Myles AllenLeader, Climate Research Programme
Professor of Geosystem Science
 Kaya Axelsson Kaya AxelssonResearch Assistant - Net Zero
Dr Neven FučkarDr Neven FučkarSenior Researcher
Professor Jim HallProfessor Jim HallLeader, Water Research Programme
Professor of Climate and Environmental Risks
Dr Conor HickeyDr Conor HickeyResearch Fellow in Scenarios and Business models for the transition to Net Zero
Dr Donghyun LeeDr Donghyun LeeResearch Associate: the role of the carbon cycle in the transition to Net Zero
Professor Benito MüllerProfessor Benito MüllerConvener International Climate Policy Research
Dr James PainterDr James PainterSenior Teaching Associate
 Heather Waller Heather WallerProgramme Administrator - Oxford Net Zero

Doctoral research

Joshua Ettinger

Extreme Weather Events as Teachable Moments: Examining the Role of Attribution Science in Building Support for Climate Action

Supervisors: Dr Pete Walton; Prof. Friederike Otto; Dr James Painter

Vance Z H Tan

Strategic assessment of long-term plans for adaptation to flood risk at a national scale

Supervisor: Prof. Jim Hall