Dr Neven Fučkar


Research Groups

Dr Neven Fučkar

Postdoctoral Research Assistant, Departmental Tutor and College Lecturer


Dr. Neven S. Fučkar is a weather and climate scientist who focuses on the detection and attribution of extreme events in the context of a changing climate. Neven is working on the HIASA (High Impact weather Attribution over South Africa) project using observations, reanalysis products, and CMIP5/6 and large-ensemble weather@home2 simulations to investigate properties, drivers, and impacts of extreme events (particularly heat waves, droughts, and floods).

Neven completed his PhD in Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences at Princeton University, USA, where he investigated large-scale ocean dynamics and the ocean’s role in climate. Prior to joining the Environmental Change Institute, Neven worked at the University of Hawaii, USA, and the Catalan Institute of Climate Sciences and the Barcelona Supercomputing Center, Spain, where he was involved in a spectrum of research subjects: coupled climate dynamics and modelling, Arctic sea ice, seasonal to decadal predictions, bias correction and forecast verification, climate change, and extreme events.


Neven is also a tutor in C5 Physics of Atmospheres and Oceans at the Department of Physics and a stipendiary lecturer in physical geography at the St Peter's College.


For a full list of Neven's publications, see his Google scholar and ORCID pages.


Doblas-Reyes, F.J., Acosta Navarro, J.C., Acosta, M., Bellprat, O., Billbao, R., Castrillo, M., Fučkar, N.S., Guemas, V., Lledo, L.L., Menegoz, M., Prodhomme, C., Serradell, K., Tinto, O., Batte, L., Volpi, D., Ceglar, A., Haarsma, R. and Massonnet, F. (2018) Using EC-Earth for climate prediction research. ECMWF Newsletter No. 154, Winter 2017/18. 35-40.

Fučkar, N.S., Guemas, V., Johnson, N.C. and Doblas-Reyes, F.J. (2018) Dynamical prediction of Arctic sea ice modes of variability. Climate Dynamics: 1-17.

Manubes, N., Caron, L.P., Hunter, A., Bellprat, O., Exarchou, E., Fučkar, N.S., García-Serrano, J., Massonnet, F., Menegoz, M., Sicardi, V., Batte, L., Prodhomme, C., Torralba, V., Cortesi, N., Mula-Valls, O., Sarradell, K., Guemas, V. and Doblas-Reyes, F.J. (2018) An R package for climate forecast verification. Environmental Modelling and Software, 103: 29-42.

Otto, F.E.L., Wolski, P., Lehner, F., Tebaldi, C., Jan van Oldenborgh, G., Higesteeger, S., Singh, R., Holden, P., Fučkar, N.S., Odoulami, R. and New, M. (2018) Anthropogenic influence on the drivers of the Western Cape drought 2015 – 2017. Environmental Research Letters, 13(12).

Uotila, P., Goosse, H., Barthelemy, A., Bricaud, C., Carton, J., Fučkar, N.S., Garric, G., Haines, K., Iovino, D., Kauker, F., Korhonen, M., Lien, V., Marnela, M., Massonnet, F., Mignac Carneiro, D., Peterson, K.A., Sadikhi, R., Shi, L., Tietsche, S., Toyoda, T., Xie, J. and Zhang, Z. (2018) An assessment of ten ocean reanalyses in the polar regions. Climate Dynamics: 1-38.


Bellprat, O, Massonnet, F., García-Serrano, J., Fučkar, N.S, Guemas, V., and Doblas-Reyes, F.J.,The role of Arctic sea ice and sea-surface temperatures on the cold 2015 February over North America, 2016, Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 97 (12), S36-S41, DOI: 10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0159.1

Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E., Barthelemy, A., Chevallier, M., Cullather, R., Fučkar, N.S., Massonnet, F., Posey, P., Wang, W., Zhang, J., Ardilouze, C., Bitz, C. M., Vernieres, G., Wallcraft, A., and Wang, M.,Multi-model seasonal forecast of Arctic sea-ice: forecast uncertainty at pan-Arctic and regional scales, 2016, Climate Dynamics, 1-12, DOI: 10.1007/s00382-016-3388-9

Fučkar, N.S., Guemas, V., Johnson, N.C., Massonnet, F., and Doblas-Reyes, F.J.,Clusters of interannual sea ice variability in the Northern Hemisphere, 2016, Clim. Dyn., 47: 1527-1543, DOI: 10.1007/s00382- 015-2917-2 /p>

Fučkar, N.S., Massonnet, F., Guemas, V., García-Serrano, J., Bellprat, O., Doblas-Reyes, F.J., and Acosta, M., Record low northern hemisphere sea ice extent in March 2015, 2016, Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 97 (12), S136-S140, DOI: 10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0153.1

Haarsma, R.J., Roberts, M., Vidale, P.L., Senior, C.A., Bellucci, A., Bao, Q., Chang, P., Corti, S., Fučkar, N.S., Guemas, V., von Hardenberg, J., Hazeleger, W., Kodama, C., Koenigk, T., Leung, L. R., Lu, J., Luo, J.-J., Mao, J., Mizielinski, M. S., Mizuta, R., Nobre, P., Satoh, M., Scoccimarro, E., Semmler, T., Small, J., and von Storch, J.-S.,High Resolution Model Intercomparison Project (HighResMIP) for CMIP6, 2016, Geosci. Model Dev., 9, 4185-4208, DOI: 10.5194/gmd-9-4185-2016


Massonnet, F., Guemas, V., Fučkar, N.S., and Doblas-Reyes, F.J.,The 2014 all-time high record of Antarctic sea ice extent, 2015, Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 96 (12), S163-S167, DOI: 10.1175/BAMS-D-15-00093.1


Fučkar, N. S., Volpi, D., Guemas, V., and Doblas-Reyes, F. J., A posteriori adjustment of near- term climate predictions: Ac- counting for the drift dependence on the initial conditions, 2014, Geophys. Res. Lett., 41, 5200-5207,
DOI: 10.1002/2014GL060815

Guemas, V., Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E., Chevallier, M., Day, J.J., Déqué, M., Doblas-Reyes, F.J., Fučkar, N.S., Germe, A., Hawkins, E., Keeley, S., Koenigk, T., Salas y Mélia, D., and Tietsche, S.,A review on Arctic sea-ice predictability and prediction on seasonal to decadal time-scales, 2014, Q.J.R. Meteorol. Soc., DOI: 10.1002/qj.2401


Frierson, D.M.W., Hwang, Y.T., Fučkar, N.S., Seager, R., Kang, S.M., Donohoe, A., Maroon, E.A., Liu, X., and Battisti, D.S., Contribution of ocean overturning circulation to tropical rainfall peak in the Northern Hemisphere, 2013, Nature Geosciences, 6, 940-944, DOI: 10.1038/ngeo1987

Fučkar, N.S., Xie, S.-P., Farneti, R., Maroon, E.A., and Frierson, D.M.W.,""Influence of the Extratropical Ocean Circulation on the Intertropical Convergence Zone in an Idealized Coupled General Circulation Model, 2013, J. Climate, 26, 4612-4629, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00294.1

Thakur, G., Brevdo, E., Fučkar, N.S., and Wu, H.-T., Synchrosqueezing algorithm for time- varying spectral analysis: Robustness properties and new paleoclimate applications, 2013, Signal Processing. 93 - 5, pp. 1079 - 1094. Elsevier DOI: 10.1016/j.sigpro.2012.11.029


Fučkar, N.S., Adaptive Scaling Model of the Main Pycnocline and the Associated Overturning Circulation, 2010, Ph.D. Thesis, Princeton University, Princeton, New Jersey, USA

Reperant, L.A., Fučkar, N.S., Osterhaus A.D.M.E., Dobson A.P., and Kuiken, T.,Spatial and Temporal Association of Outbreaks of H5N1 Influenza Virus Infection in Wild Birds with the 0∘C Isotherm 2010, PLoS Pathog 6(4):e1000854, DOI: 10/1371/journal.ppat.1000854


Fučkar, N.S. and Vallis, G.K.,Interhemispheric influence of surface buoyancy conditions on a circumpolar current, 2007, Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, L14605, DOI: 10.1029/2007GL030379


Fučkar, N.S., Elements of Tropical Pacific Decadal Variability, 2003, M.Sc. Thesis, Texas A University, College Station, Texas, USA


Giese, B.S., Urizar, S.C., and Fučkar, N.S.,Southern Hemisphere Origins of the 1976 Climate Shift, 2002, Geophys. Res. Lett., 29(2), 1014, DOI: 10.1029/2001GL013268