Dr Katie Jenkins
Katie Jenkins is a postdoctoral research associate at the Environmental Change Institute, where she has worked on various multidisciplinary projects with a focus on integrated assessment of climate impacts and adaptation strategies. Katie's main research interests include modelling direct and indirect social and economic impacts of climate change, with particular regard to extreme weather such as drought, extreme temperatures and surface water flooding, and assessing consequences for adaptation strategies from an interdisciplinary perspective. Katie is a research member of the Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research.
Before joining ECI in April 2011, Katie was a PhD student at the University of Cambridge modelling the economic and social impacts of drought events under future projections of climate change. Prior to this Katie worked at the University of Cambridge at 4CMR (The Cambridge Centre for Climate Change Mitigation Research). During this time Katie was involved in numerous research projects focused around the core theme of modelling economic, environmental and energy systems to assess climate policy.
Katie is currently working on the NERC funded MaRIUS (Managing the Risks, Impacts and Uncertainties of drought and water Scarcity) project which aims to introduce a risk-based approach to drought and water scarcity in order to inform management decisions and prepare households. Her main tasks include the modelling, appraisal and communication of options for drought and water resources management, with a key focus on the development of a stakeholder based Droughts 'Impacts Dashboard', as well as assessing economic impacts of water scarcity.
Alongside this she is involved in a Drought and Water Scarcity (DWS), Research Programme Policy Impact project. There is interest from existing and potential stakeholders about the DWS Programme’s research on risks to water resources, but some stakeholders struggle with little capacity for engagement. The project aims to counter this issue, by bringing research to these stakeholders, identifying where it can assist with their activities, and supporting the uptake of outputs.
From March 2016 – March 2017 Katie worked as a secondee on an EPSRC Impact Acceleration Account. Working with the Adaptation and Resilience in the Context of Change (ARCC) network, the project aimed to enhance the uptake, utility and value of existing simulation models by policymakers and industry, at the building-, suburban- and city-scale.
From April 2013 - February 2016 Katie worked on the research project ENHANCE (Enhancing risk management partnerships for catastrophic natural disasters in Europe). ENHANCE aimed to develop new ways to enhance societies' resilience to catastrophic impacts of natural hazards; help to develop new partnerships across public, private and civil society sectors; and look at the potential of these partnerships for managing different catastrophic hazards.
Katie was involved in the case study on flood risk in London. The case study evaluated existing and potential new risk management partnerships for London floods, in terms of defined criteria, such as the potential to enhance London's resilience to major flood risks today and in the future; efficiency, effectiveness, and equity; and incentives for risk reduction among different partners. Katie was also involved in the work package on economic instruments. As part of this an Agent Based Model for assessing flood risk insurance, and in particular the role of the new Flood Re scheme, was developed and applied to the case study of surface water flood risk in London.
From April 2011 - March 2013 Katie worked on research project ARCADIA (Adaptation and Resilience in Cities: Analysis and Decision making using Integrated Assessment). The ARCADIA project provided system-scale understanding of the inter-relationships between climate impacts, the urban economy, land use, transport and the built environment, providing information to help design cities that are more resilient and adaptable. The project was funded from the EPSRC's Adaptation and Resilience to a Changing Climate Programme, and was a Tyndall Centre consortium project involving a multidisciplinary research team of engineers, economists, and climate scientists. Katie's role within ARCADIA was to integrate the various research activities mentioned above in order to provide new insights into the direct and indirect impacts of climate change in urban areas, and to use this information for the development of adaptation strategies.
- Dubbelboer, J., Nikolic, I., Jenkins, K. and Hall, J.W. (2017) An Agent-Based Model of Flood Risk and Insurance Download. Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, 20(1)(6).
- Jenkins, K. (2017) Improving climate resilience in the urban environment. UKCIP, University of Oxford, Oxford.. 1-55.
- Jenkins, K., Hall, J.W., Glenis, V. and Kilsby, C. (2017) A Probabilistic Analysis of Surface Water Flood Risk in London. Risk Analysis.
- Jenkins, K., Surminski, S., Hall, J.W. and Crick, F. (2017) Assessing surface water flood risk and management strategies under future climate change: Insights from an Agent-Based Model. Science of the Total Environmental, 595: 159-168.
- Kingsborough, A., Jenkins, K. and Hall, J.W. (2017) Development and appraisal of long-term adaptation pathways for managing heat-risk in London. Climate Risk Management, 16: 73-92.
- Dubbelboer, J., Nikolic, J., Jenkins, K. and Hall, J. (2016) An Agent-Based Model of Flood Risk and Insurance. Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation. Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, 20(1).
- Jenkins, K. and Surminski, S. (2016) Evaluation of Multi Sectoral Partnerships (MSPs): Flood risk management and climate change in London. In, Aerts, J. and Mysiak, J. (eds.) Novel Multi-Sector Partnerships in Disaster Risk Management. Results of the ENHANCE project. . Commissioned by EU FP7 project ENHANCE.
- Jenkins, K., Surminski, S., Hall, J. and Crick, F. (2016) Assessing surface water flood risk and management strategies under future climate change: an agent-based model approach. Centre for Climate Change Economics and Policy Working Paper No.252; Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment Working Paper No.223.
- Jenkins, K., Surminski, S., Hall, J. and Crick, F. (2016) Surface water flood risk and management strategies for London: An Agent-Based Model approach. E3S Web Conf, 7 3rd European Conference on Flood Risk Management (FLOODrisk 2016).
- Mechler, R., Pulido-Velazquez, M., Koehler, M., Jenkins, K., Surminski, S. and Williges, K. (2016) Economic Instruments. In, Aerts, J. and Mysiak, J. (eds.) Novel Multi-Sector Partnerships in Disaster Risk Management. Results of the ENHANCE project. . Commissioned by EU FP7 project ENHANCE.
- Botzen, W., Mechler, R., Aerts, J., Hochrainer-Stigler, S., Timonina, A., Lorant, A., Veldkamp, T., Hudson, P., Jenkins, K., Mysiak, J., Surminski, S. and Monteagudo, D. (2015) Natural hazard risk assessments for improving resilience in Europe. Enhance Policy Brief
- Brown, S., Alpin, K.L., Jenkins, K., Mander, S., Walsh, C. and Williams, P. (2015) Is there a rhythm of the rain? An analysis of weather in popular music. Weather, 70(7): 198-204.
- Jenkins, K. and Warren, R. (2015) Drought-Damage Functions for the Estimation of Drought Costs under Future Projections of Climate Change. Journal of Extreme Events, 2(1).
- Jenkins, K. and Warren, R. (2015) Quantifying the impact of climate change on drought regimes using the Standardised Precipitation Index. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 120(1): 41-54.
- Jenkins, K., Hall, J., Mechler, R., Lorant, A., Haer, T., Botzen, W., Aerts, J., Köhler, M., Pulido-Velaquez, M. and Lopez-Nicolas, A. (2015) Key economic instruments for risk reduction and management for the case studies. ENHANCE deliverables 5.2.
- Jenkins, K., Hall, J., Surminski, S. and Crick, F. (2015) London Case Study: Flood risk and climate change implications for MSPs. ENHANCE deliverable 7.3: Risk scenarios and analysis
- Jenkins, K., Gilbey, M., Hall, J., Glenis, V. and Kilsby, C. (2014) Implications of climate change for thermal discomfort on underground railways. Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment, 30: 1-9.
- Jenkins, K., Hall, J., Glenis, V., Kilsby, C., McCarthy, M., Goodess, C., Smith, D., Malleson, N. and Birkin, M. (2014) Probabilistic spatial risk assessment of heat impacts and adaptations for London. Climatic Change, 124(1-2): 105-117.
- Crawford-Brown, D., Sydall, M., Guan, D., Li, J., Jenkins, K., Hall, J.W., Beaven, R., Thoung, C. and Anger-Kraavi, A. (2013) Vulnerability of London’s economy to climate change: sensitivity to production loss. Journal of Environmental Protection, 4: 548-563.
- Jenkins, K. (2013) Extreme Weather and Climate Change Cost Assessments. Climatology and Weather Forecasting, 1(2).
- Jenkins, K. (2013) Indirect economic costs of drought under future projections of climate change: a case study of Spain. Natural Hazards, 69(3): 1967-1986.
- Smith, A. and Jenkins, K. (2013) Extreme weather events and climate discourse in the USA. Journal of Environmental Studies and Sciences, 3(3): 259-268.
- Jenkins, K., Glenis, V., Ford, A. and Hall, J. (2012) A probabilistic risk based approach to addressing impacts of climate change on cities: The Tyndall Centres Urban Integrated Assessment Facility. UGEC Viewpoints, 8: 8-11.
- Jenkins, K. (2011) Modelling the Economic and Social Consequences of Drought under Future Projections of Climate Change. PhD Thesis.
- Jenkins, K. and Nicholls, S. (2010) The Impacts of Climate Variability and Potential Climate Change on Tourism Business in Torbay, England Implications for Adaptation. Tourism Analysis, 15(1): 17-30.
- Barker, T. and Jenkins, K. (2007) The Costs of Avoiding Dangerous Climate Change: Estimates derived from a meta-analysis of the literature. A Briefing Paper for the Human Development Report 2007.
- Barker, T. and Jenkins, K. (2007) The Domestic Energy Sub-Model in MDM-E3.. UKERC Working Paper.