Environmental Change Institute, University of Oxford

Dr Jesus Aguirre Gutierrez

NERC Research Fellow


The goal of my research is to disentangle how a changing climate has impacted, is currently driving and will modify in the near future our natural forest ecosystems.

Much is still unknown about how tropical forests around the world are responding to an increasingly fast changing climate, and there may be regions that are or will experience stronger biodiversity shifts and may be in more need of protection or regulation.

Having grown-up in Guadalajara, one of the biggest cities in Mexico where not much nature is around, I decided to spend a year living with the indigenous "Raramuri" community in Northern Mexico to learn from their vision of nature.

My research interests come from understanding the importance nature has on our livelihoods - something I learnt through my experiences with indigenous communities in Mexico and abroad.

I am and NERC Independent Research Fellow at the School of Geography and the Environment and the Environmental Change Institute. In my work I try to understand the role that plant functional characteristics play in the resilience of tropical forests and make use of field assessment and also lots of remote sensing data from drones and satellites. Currently I am working across several countries including Mexico, Brazil, Peru, Ghana, Gabon, Malaysia and Australia. See more about my work on my personal website.

I am always open to discuss research opportunities at bachelor, MSc and PhD level, feel free to contact me if interested.



Raes, N. and Aguirre-Gutiérrez, J. Species distribution models under climate and landscape changes. In: Mountains, Climate and Biodiversity. Hoorn, C. and Antonelli, A. (eds). Accepted October 2016. Wiley Blackwell Publishers, Oxford.

Aguirre-Gutierrez, J., Kissling, W.D., Carvalheiro, L.G., WallisDeVries, M.F., Franzén, M. and Biesmeijer, J.C. Functional traits help to explain half-century long shifts in pollinator distributions. 2016. Scientific Reports. 6:24451.

Roger, N., Moerman, R., Carvalheiro, L.G., Aguirre-Guitiérrez, J., et al. Impact of pollen resources drift on common bumble bees in NW Europe. 2016. Global Change Biology. In Press.

Wicaksono, C.Y., Aguirre-Guiterrez, J., Nouhra, E., Pastor, N., Raes, N., Pacheco, S. and Geml, J. Contracting montane cloud forests: a case study of the Andean alder (Alnus acuminata) and associated fungi in the Yungas. 2016. Biotropica. In Press.

Lens, F., Vos, R.A., Charrier, G., van der Niet, T., Merckx, V., Pieter Baas, P., Aguirre-Gutierrez, J. et al. Scalariform-to-simple transition in vessel perforation plates triggered by differences in climate during the evolution of Adoxaceae. 2016. Annals of Botany. In Press.


Aguirre-Gutierrez, J., Serna-Chavez, H.M., Villalobos-Arámbula, A.R., Pérez de la Rosa, J.A. and Raes, N. Similar but not equivalent: ecological niche comparison across closely-related Mexican white pines. Diversity and Distributions. 2015. 21: 245-257.

Aguirre-Gutierrez, J., Biesmeijer, J.C., van Loon, E.E., Reemer, M., WallisDeVries, M.F. and Carvalheiro, L.G. Susceptibility of pollinators to ongoing landscape changes depends on landscape history. Diversity and Distributions. 2015. 21: 1129-1140.

Marshall, L., Carvalheiro, L.G, Aguirre‐Gutiérrez, J., et al. Testing projected wild bee distributions in agricultural habitats: predictive power depends on species traits and habitat type. Ecology and Evolution. 2015. 5 4426-4436.


Aguirre-Gutiérrez, J. Are Plant Species’ Richness and Diversity Influenced by Fragmentation at a Microscale? International Journal of Biodiversity. 2014. 384698.

Buckland, S., Cole, N.C., Aguirre-Gutiérrez, J. et al. Ecological effects of the invasive giant Madagascar day gecko on endemic Mauritian geckos: applications of binomial-mixture and species distribution models. 2014. PLoS One. 9: e88798.


Aguirre-Gutiérrez, J., Carvalheiro, L.G., Polce, C., van Loon, E.E., Raes, N., Reemer, M., Biesmeijer, J.C. Fit-for-purpose: species distribution model performance depends on evaluation criteria-Dutch hoverflies as a case study. PLoS One. 2013. 8: e63708.

Carvalheiro L.G., Kunin W.E., Keil P., Aguirre-Gutierrez J. et al. Species richness declines and biotic homogenisation have slowed down for NW European pollinators and plants. Ecology letters. 2013 16: 870-878.

Polce, C., Termansen, M., Aguirre-Gutiérrez,J. et al. Species distribution models for crop pollination: a modelling framework applied to Great Britain. PLoS One. 2013. 8: e76308.


Aguirre-Gutierrez, J., Seijmonsbergen, A.C. and Duivenvoorden J.F. Optimizing land cover classification accuracy for change detection, a combined pixel-based and object-based approach in a mountainous area in Mexico. Applied Geography. 2012, 34: 29-37.


Aguirre-Gutiérrez, J. and Duivenvoorden, J.F. Can we expect to protect threatened species in protected areas? A case study of the genus Pinus in Mexico. Revista Mexicana de Biodiversidad. 2010. 81: 875-882.