ECI Research: Understanding the processes of change
The ECI is advancing understanding of processes of change in complex human and natural systems. Our work provides insights into the implications of unmitigated change and the evidence upon which to base the evaluation of possible responses to change.
We are seeking to understand the interdependence of these processes of change, from local to global scales.
Understanding Human processes of change projects
- Oxford Martin Programme on Resource Stewardship
Launched 2012
We are working across the sciences, social sciences and humanities to radically rethink global resource stewardship. We aim to deliver a framework, accountable to future generations, that will create actionable input on critical global issues such as freshwater resources, land-use and atmosphere.
- Oxford Centre for Tropical Forests (OCTF)
Launched 2008
The OCTF has been launched to bring together the vast amount of intellectual capital and practical issues relating to tropical forests within the locality. The OCTF aims to foster greater links and intensify synergies between all those interested in the past, present and future of tropical forests.
- Ecosystem Governance Protected Area Effectiveness
In collaboration with the University of Copenhagen and the University of Queensland, we aim to measure protected area effectiveness, at a regional and national scale, using a landscape modelling approach.
- UK National Ecosystem Assessment (NEA)
2011
The UK National Ecosystem Assessment will provide the first analysis of the UK’s natural environment in terms of the benefits it provides to society and continuing economic prosperity.
- The Resilience of ECosystems to environmental ChangeE: RECCE
An assessment of the scientific, management and policy literature on the resilience of Ecosystems to changing environmental pressures, and the robustness of the current evidence base that could be used to frame policy and management responses.
- Embedding Biodiversity Adaptation Principles (EMBEDS)
2010 - 2011
This project will review of the success of embedding climate change adaptation principles in activities supporting Defra's internal Biodiversity Programme; and in the England Biodiversity Strategy
- Ecosystem Services for Poverty Alleviation
2010 - 2020
Development of a conceptual framework that analyses the links between ecosystem services and sustainable poverty reduction
- Indigenous-State Relations in Alaska and Beyond: Sustainable Livelihoods, Biocultural Diversity and Health since the Alaska Native Claims Settlement Act
2008-2011
An alaysis of how the creation of Alaska Native business corporations transformed institutional arrangements between Alaska Natives, state governments, ecosystems, and regional-global economies, and outcomes in indigenous groups' biocultural health.
- Dynamics of Circumpolar Land Use and Ethnicity (CLUE): Social Impacts of Policy and Climate Change
2008-2012
This project examines how the impacts of rapid climatic change among the peoples of the circumpolar rim affect land use and ethnicity
- Human Adaptation to Biodiversity Change
2010-2011
An initiation of conceptual frameworks, methods and integrated models for understanding human adaptation to change in biodiversity and related ecosystem services that can eventually be used to predict outcomes for biodiversity, ecosystem services and human well-being in highly biodiversity dependent societies, and provide evidence for the utility of these outputs to a new network of researchers and policy makers.
- Building Expertise
2010 - 2013
This project adopts a modified ‘system of professions’ approach to energy use in buildings, to address questions as to who can best deliver lower-carbon improvements in the coming decades, how they might best be educated, and whether new professions such as system integrators will be required to coordinate the necessary work. The research involves reviews of professional practices, skills, training, technical issues, markets & policy context, along with interviews and a survey of pioneers and mainstream practitioners.
- Long term dynamics of interdependent infrastructure systems
2011 - 2015
- UNderstanding LOcal and Community Governance of Energy (UNLOC)
2010 - 2012
The UNLOC project aims to develop a robust understanding of evolving patterns of energy governance at local and community levels. It will demonstrate how grassroots organisations, local government initiatives and national-scale activities interact to create new political opportunities for active citizen engagement in both energy demand reduction and deployment of local energy generation.
- EVALOC – evaluating effectiveness of DECC-funded low carbon communities
2011-2014
A project to assess, explain and communicate the changes in energy use due to community activities within six selected low-carbon communities funded under the DECC's Low Carbon Communities Challenge (LCCC.
- Sustainable Behaviour
2009 - 2011
There has been a shortage of methodical research, assessment and metrics for social innovation, as well as a lack of political and financial support. In this project, case studies of domestic heat pumps, car clubs and the UK Camp for Climate Action have been used to build a classification which could help assess the sustainability potential of niche developments, and indicate which policies would best support them.
- UKERC Meeting Place
2004 onwards
The UKERC networking hub for international specialists to tackle the challenge of sustainable energy.
- iConnect - On your bike!
2008 - 2013
A multi-institutional study to evaluate the impacts of a £150 million project designed to revitalise walking and cycling across the UK.
- Energy management tools: Degree Day Data
2007 - ongoing
Free downloads of weekly degree day data for 77 weather stations in the UK at a range of building base temperatures from 10.5 degrees to 20 degrees from before the beginning of the 2007 heating season.
- Supergen Project: How will the electricity network function if there are millions of small scale distributed electricity generators?
2005 - 2013
The Supergen project investigates how to coordinate the effective operation of small distributed energy resources across the national grid.
- UK Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium: Long term dynamics of interdependent infrastructure systems
The UK Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium will inform the analysis, planning and design of national infrastructure, through the development and demonstration of new decision support tools, and working with partners in government and industry.
- ARCADIA: Adaptation and Resilience in Cities: Analysis and Decision making using Integrated Assessment [EPSRC (EP/G061254/1)]
ARCADIA aims to provide system-scale understanding of the inter-relationships between climate impacts, the urban economy, land use, transport and the built environment and to use this understanding to design cities that are more resilient and adaptable.
- Climate Change and the Public Sphere
2010 - 2011
This project aims to explore if, and in what ways, members of the public from the Australian Capital Region alter their underlying dispositions and policy preferences when exposed to climate change information.
- Visioning and Backcasting for Transport Futures in Chinese Cities
2010 - 2011
This research project will analyse policy pathways and business models to support sustainable transport in China.
- Governing Climate Change at Global Cities: A Case Study of Beijing
2008 - 2009
Understanding the roles of non-nation state actors including the municipal government, businesses, and NGOs in Beijing’s climate change governance and draw implications for national climate policy and the post-Kyoto climate regime
- Governing Climate Change beyond the International Regime: City Actions in China
Identifying the key factors that determine the current carbon actions taken by non-nation state actors in China, and examining the implications of these activities for developing a post-2012 climate regime that can effectively engage China.
- Flood Risk Management Consortium, Phase 2 [EPSRC (EP/F020511/1)]
The Flood Risk Management Consortium is an interdisciplinary research Consortium focuses on some of the more recently identified strategic research investigating the prediction and management of flood risk and is the primary UK academic response to this challenge.
- Burning for Biodiversity
2008 -
Burning for Biodiversity in Africa is a project that brings together biodiversity research with capacity building and external communication to promote effective fire and conservation management in South African savannas.
Understanding Natural processes of change projects
- Climateprediction.net
ongoing
A distributed computing project to produce predictions of the Earth's climate up to 2100 and to test the accuracy of climate models. By running the model thousands of times (a 'large ensemble') we hope to find out how the model responds to slight tweaks to these approximations - slight enough to not make the approximations any less realistic.
- Climateeducation.net
Climateeducation.net is a global programme which aims to encourage the sharing of high quality information about climate science, modelling and the interpretation of climate change modelling experiments. It will do this by offering two short online courses and supporting an online community of knowledge sharing in regional climate prediction.
- Oxford Centre for Tropical Forests (OCTF)
Launched 2008
The OCTF has been launched to bring together the vast amount of intellectual capital and practical issues relating to tropical forests within the locality. The OCTF aims to foster greater links and intensify synergies between all those interested in the past, present and future of tropical forests.
- Climate change in the Andes
2006 onwards
Using a transect of study sites ranging from the lowland Amazon forest to the high Andes this group of projects seek to understand what determines the carbon dynamics of Andean montane forests, and how this may be altered by climate change.
- The dynamics and carbon implications of fires in the Andes
2009 - 2012
This project will conduct the first detailed evaluation of spatial and temporal dynamics of fire at the Andean cloud forest-grassland treeline, and will attempt to quantify their implications for carbon emissions
- iCOASST: Integrated COASTal sediment systems
2012 - 2016
A £2.9m multi-university project to help forecast what the UK's coastline will look like in the future. The forecasts will be used to help improve long-term flood and erosion risk management.
- Understanding the carbon balance of Amazon forests
2008 -2011
The purpose of this four-year project is to determine and communicate the current carbon balance of Amazon forests
- RAINFOR – Amazon Forest Inventory Network
Ongoing since 2000
An international network established to monitor the biomass and dynamics of Amazonian forests.
- LBA Project: Amazonia's large scale atmosphere-biosphere experiment
Ongoing since 1998
This network aims to create the knowledge necessary for understanding the climatological, ecological, biochemical, and hydrological interactions and functioning of Amazonia; and the impacts of landuse change on these functions.
- Real-time deforestation detection project - INPE
Ongoing
This project uses remote sensing to locate land cover changes in lowland rainforests through the detection of new deforestation bigger than 0.25km2
- Quantifying carbon cycling research at Wytham Woods
2008 - 2012
Quantifying the carbon stocks and flows in current climatic conditions and examines the impact of extreme events, possible signatures of climate change.
- LandCor Matlab routines
2007 - 2012
LandCor is a set of Matlab routines that facilitate the use of the 6S radiative transfer code in the correction of a satellite scene that accounts for varying atmospheric conditions.
- Understanding the implications of Climate Change for woodland biodiversity and community functioning
2011
This project is evaluating the evidence for the effects of climate change on biodiversity and community function; rare and threatened species and the arrival and increase of new species in UK woodland Priority Habitats, through a combination of literature review and bioclimate envelope modelling. It is also making practical suggestions for further research, including methods for filling knowledge gaps.
- Land Degradation in the Karoo, South Africa
The project is gaining new insights into land degradation by studying changes in specific landscape signatures - badlands and deep gully systems
Research Groups
The following research groups and individuals work on projects relating to understanding the processes of change:
- UKCIP
- Lower Carbon Futures Group
- Ecosystems Dynamics Laboratory
- Biodiversity and Climate Change Group
- Oxford Centre for Tropical Forests
- The China Energy and Climate Programme
- Trapnell Fellow in African Ecology
- UK Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium: Long term dynamics of interdependent infrastructure systems
- Climate Change, Agriculture, and Food Security (CCAFS)







