Predict and Decide
The UK Government is committed to a 60% reduction in carbon dioxide emissions from UK activities between 1990 and 2050. Many climate scientists now believe that even tougher targets are needed, but in all cases swift action is required to reduce climate impacts. Yet the UKís Aviation White Paper sets a policy framework that supports a major expansion in aviation activity, which would enable air passenger movements to increase from about 200 million in 2003 to about 470 million in 2030.
The ECI commissioned this report: 'Predict and decide: aviation, climate change and UK policy' to assess the implications of aviation growth in the UK, while recognising that there would be some positive benefits. Available evidence about the scale, nature and impacts of the projected rise in air travel is used to weigh up the arguments for and against restraining aviation, particularly passenger air travel.
In the light of this evidence and the UKís environmental goals, the report concludes that the Government will need to explore a policy of managing demand for air travel. This is likely to include:
- A change in strategic policy to give a presumption against the expansion of UK airport capacity;
- A fiscal package to make flying less attractively priced;
- A communication strategy that builds on existing public support for addressing aviationís environmental impacts and ensures that the contribution of flying to climate change is understood and recognised.
Publications and Communications
- Predict and decide: aviation, climate change and UK policy' [PDF: 3.42MB]
Please note, this is a low res version of the report to allow swift downloading. Some images may appear slightly unclear. Hard copies can be requested by emailing: firstname.lastname@example.org
Print, Radio & TV
- Press Release: Are the UKís aviation and climate change policies impossible bed-fellows? [PDF: 13KB]
Embargoed until 00.01am GMT 17 October 2006
- Brenda Boardman appeared on Radio 4's Today Programme: How can we expand our airports and still cut CO2 emissions? Listen again here.
17th October 2006
- Trouble in the air: How Government flights pumped out 1,000 tonnes of carbon dioxide
The Independent 16 October 2006
- Britons must choose between cheap flights and cutting carbon emissions, report warns
The Telegraph 17 October 2006
- UK 'must act' on plane emissions
BBC News 17 October 2006
- Lib Dems denounce 'jet-set cabinet'
The Guardian 17 October 2006