Current projects

Research led by

Related climate themes

Publications


www.happimip.org website image

HAPPI: Half a degree Additional warming, Projections, Prognosis and Impacts

The decision on whether to increase the ambition of climate change mitigation efforts to stabilise temperatures at 1.5°C rather than 2°C above pre-industrial is arguably one of the most momentous to be made in the coming decade, and is currently poorly served by the paucity of scientific analysis of the relative risks associated with these two outcomes (James et al, 2016), particularly regarding the role of extreme weather. The Conference of the Parties of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), in its Paris Agreement of 2015, invited the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) to prepare a Special Report in 2018 “on the impacts of global warming of 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels and related greenhouse gas emission pathways.” To inform such an assessment, research will need to be undertaken immediately, over the period 2016 to 2017.


Climateprediction.net
  • Original funding (2002): NERC / UK Government Department of Trade and Industry
  • 2002 onwards
  • ECI Lead: Dr Friederike Otto

Climateprediction.net

A distributed computing project to produce predictions of the Earth's climate up to 2100 and to test the accuracy of climate models. The Weather@Home experiment allows us to simulate models at a regional scale to tell us more abut regional and local weather.


Extreme snow

World Weather Attribution

In partnership with Climate Central, the World Weather Attribution project will seek to assess immediately after an extreme weather event occurs, whether climate change played a role.


  • Original funding (2002): NERC / UK Government Department of Trade and Industry
  • 2002 onwards
  • PI: Professor Myles Allen

Weather@home 2015: Western US Drought

A weather@home experiment to determine whether climate change has contributed to the 2015 drought in Western USA.


Ace Africa
  • Funding: NERC
  • 2013-2016
  • Dr Friederike Otto

Attributing impacts of external climate drivers on extreme weather (ACE-Africa)

This project looks at whether and to what extent climate change is already affecting the magnitude and frequency of extreme weather events on the African continent. It also investigates the impacts of such extreme weather events on river flow and crops.


Eucleia
  • Funding: European Union’s Seventh Framework Programme
  • 2014-2017
  • Professor Myles Allen

European climate and weather events - interpretation and attribution (EUCLEIA)

This project will develop the means to provide reliable information about extreme weather and climate risks using event attribution across Europe.


Anthropocene graph
  • Funding: ERC
  • 2013-2018
  • ECI Lead: Dr Friederike Otto

Transition Into The Anthropocene (TITAN)

A five year project to learn about the climate system from 19th and early 20th century data. The project aims for a step change in understanding climate change based on a substantial observation record from historical shipping reports.


Future Climate for Africa logo

Improving Model Processes for African cLimAte (IMPALA)

IMPALA aims to deliver a step change in predictive capability for African climate on the 5-40 year timescales.


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The Oxford Martin Programme on Resource Stewardship

This programme works across the sciences, social sciences and humanities to radically rethink global resource stewardship. The programme aims to deliver a framework, accountable to future generations, that will create actionable input on critical global issues such as freshwater resources, land-use and atmosphere.


Completed Projects

Full list of archived climate projects.