Publications

Insights for Policy

Shared Action on Food and Environments in East Africa

ECI Insights for Policy 1, April 2013, Joost Vervoort

The CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security (CCAFS) has explored how different political and socio-economic futures for East Africa may affect food security and environmental change in the region, and how this may affect the region's vulnerability to future climate change. This briefing presents four possible scenarios and the insights gained during the process of developing them. It describes how stakeholders have used them to plan for the future, and explores emerging policy options.

Watch a video on how scenarios were developed with regional partners.

Academic Publications 2013

49 publications listed

• Brand, C., Anable, J. and Tran, M. (2013) Accelerating the transformation to a low carbon transport system: the role of car purchase taxes, feebates, road taxes and scrappage incentives. Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, 49: 132-148.
• Cardwell, E. and Gear, R. (2013) Transferable quotas, efficiency and crew ownership in Whalsay, Shetland. Marine Policy, 40: 160-166.
• Cheng, X.T., Evans, E.P., Wu, H.Y., Thorne, C.R., Han, S., Simm, J.D. and Hall, J.W. (2013) A framework for long-term scenario analysis in the Taihu Basin, China. Journal of Flood Risk Management, 6(1): 3-13.
• Coad, L., Leverington, F., Burgess, N., Cuadros, I., Geldmann, J., Marthews, T.R., Mee, J., Nolte, C., Stoll-Kleemann, S., Vansteelant, N., Zamora, C., Zimsky, M. and Hockings, M. (2013) Progress towards the CBD Protected Area Management Effectiveness targets. PARKS, 19(1).
• Coad, L., Schleicher, J., Starkey, M., Milner-Gulland, E.J., Marthews, T.R., Manica, A., Balmford, A., Mbombe, W., Ndop, T. and Abernethy, K.A. (2013) Social, economic and ecological change over a decade in a village hunting system, Central Gabon. Conservation Biology.
• Coe, M.T., Marthews, T.R., Heil Costa, M., Galbraith, D.R., Greenglass, N.L., Imbuzeiro, H.M.A., Levine, N.M., Malhi, Y., Moorcroft, P.R., Nobre Muza, M., Powell, T.L., Saleska, S.R., Solorzano, L.A. and Wang, J. (2013) Deforestation and climate feedbacks threaten the ecological integrity of south–southeastern Amazonia. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B, 368(1619).
• Darby, S.J. (2013) The role of smart meters in carbon management. Carbon Management, 4(2): 111-113. Editorial.
• Eyre, N. (2013) Decentralisation of governance in the low carbon transition. In, Fouquet, R. (ed.) The Handbook of Energy and Climate Change. Edward Elgar, Cheltenham. ISBN: 978 0 85793 368 3.
• Galbraith, D., Malhi, Y., Affum-Baffoe, K., Castanho, A.D.A., Doughty, C.E., Fisher, R.A., Lewis, S.L., Peh, K.S-H., Phillips, O.L. and Quesada, C.A. (2013) Residence times of woody biomass in tropical forests. Plant Ecology and Diversity, 6(1): 139-157.
• Geldmann, J., Barnes, M., Coad, L., Craigie, I., Hockings, M. and Burgess, N. (2013) Effectiveness of terrestrial protected areas in maintaining biodiversity and reducing habitat loss. Systematic review. Environmental Evidence.
• Geldmann, J., Barnes, M., Coad, L., Craigie, I.D., Hockings, M. and Burgess, N.D. (2013) Effectiveness of terrestrial protected areas in reducing habitat loss and population declines. Biological Conservation, 161: 230-238.
• Girardin, C.A.J., Aragão, L.E.O.C., Malhi, Y., Huaraca Huasco, W., Metcalfe, D.B., Durand, L., Mamani, M., Silva-Espejo, J.E. and Whittaker, R.J. (2013) Fine root dynamics along an elevational gradient in tropical Amazonian and Andean forests. Global Biogeochemical Cycles.
• Hall, J.W. and Yu, C. (2013) Editorial. Journal of Flood Risk Management, 6(1): 1-2.
• Hobson, K. (2013) On the making of the environmental citizen. Environmental Politics, 22(1): 56-72.
• Hobson, K. and Niemeyer, S. (2013) What sceptics believe: The effects of information and deliberation on climate change scepticism. Public Understanding of Science, 22(4): 396-412.
• Holderness, T., Barr, S., Dawson, R.J. and Hall, J.W. (2013) An evaluation of thermal Earth observation for characterising urban heatwave event dynamics using the urban heat island intensity metric. International Journal of Remote Sensing, 34(3): 864-884.
• Howe, C., Suich, H., van Gardingen, P., Rahman, A. and Mace, G.M. (2013) Elucidating the pathways between climate change, ecosystem services and poverty alleviation. Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability, 5(1): 102-107.
• Huntingford, C., Zelazowski, P., Galbraith, D., Mercado, L.M., Sitch, S., Fisher, R., Lomas, M., Walker, A.P., Jones, C.D., Booth, B.B.B., Malhi, Y., Heming, D., Kay, G., Good, P., Lewis, S.L., Phillips, O.L., Atkin, O.K., Lloyd, J., Gloor, E., Zaragoza-Castells, J., Meir, P., Betts, R., Harris, P.P., Nobre, C., Marengo, J. and Cox, P.M. (2013) Simulated resilience of tropical rainforests to CO2-induced climate change. Nature Geoscience.
• Hyams, K. and Fawcett, T. (2013) The ethics of carbon offsetting. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change.
• Janda, K.B. and Parag, Y. (2013) A middle-out approach for improving energy performance in buildings. Building Research and Information, 41(1): 39-50.
• Lewis, O.T., Ewers, R.M., Lowman, M.D. and Malhi, Y. (2013) Conservation of tropical forests: maintaining ecological integrity and resilience. Chapter 13 in, Macdonald, D.W. and Willis, K.J. (eds.) Key Topics in Conservation Biology 2. Wiley-Blackwell. pp. 222-236. ISBN: 9780470658765.
• Lucas, K. and Mayne, R. (2013) A literature review for the EVALOC project: Social network theory and analysis. EVALOC Working Paper.
• Lyster, R., MacKenzie, C. and McDermott, C.L. (eds.) (2013) Law, Tropical Forests and Carbon: The Case of REDD+. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge. ISBN: 9781107028807.
• Maes, J., Teller, A., Erhard, M., Liquete, C., Braat, L., Berry, P., Egoh, B., Puydarrieux, P., Fiorina, F., Santos, F., Paracchini, M.L., Keune, H., Wittmer, H., Hauck, J., Fiala, I., Verburg, P., Condé, S., Schägner, J.P., San Miguel, J., Estreguil, C., Ostermann, O., Barredo, J.I., Pereira, H.M., Stott, A., Laporte, V., Meiner, A., Olah, B., Royo Gelabert, E., Spyropoulou, R., Petersen, J.E., Maguire, C., Zal, N., Achilleos, E., Rubin, A., Ledoux, L., Brown, C., Raes, C., Jacobs, S., Vandewalle, M., Connor, D. and Bidoglio, G. (2013) Mapping and Assessment of Ecosystems and their Services. An analytical framework for ecosystem assessments under action 5 of the EU biodiversity strategy to 2020. European Union
• Mahanty, S., Suich, H. and Tacconi, L. (2013) Access and benefits in payments for environmental services and implications for REDD+: Lessons from seven PES schemes. Land Use Policy, 31: 38-47.
• Malhi, Y. and Marthews, T.R. (2013) Tropical forests: carbon, climate and biodiversity. In, Lyster, R., MacKenzie, C. and McDermott, C. (eds.) Law, Tropical Forests and Carbon: The Case of REDD+. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
• Mallaburn, P. and Eyre, N. (2013) Lessons from energy efficiency policy and programmes in the UK from 1973 to 2013. Energy Efficiency.
• Mayne, R., Hamilton, J. and Lucas, K. (2013) Roles and Change Strategies of low carbon communities. EVALOC Working Paper.
• McDermott, C. (2013) REDD+ and Multi-level Governance: Governing for what and for whom? Chapter 5 in, Lyster, R., MacKenzie, C. and McDermott, C. (eds.) Law, Tropical Forests and Carbon: the Case of REDD+. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
• Moore, S., Evans, C.D., Page, S.E., Garnett, M.H., Jones, T., Freeman, C., Hooijer, A., Wiltshire, A.J., Limin, S.H. and Gauci, V. (2013) Deep instability of deforested tropical peatlands revealed by fluvial organic carbon fluxes. Nature, 493: 660-663.
• Ogawa-Onishi, Y. and Berry, P.M. (2013) Ecological impacts of climate change in Japan: the importance of integrating local and international publications. Biological Conservation, 157: 361-371.
• Oliveras, I., Meirelles, S.T., Hirakuri, V.L., Freitas, C.R., Miranda, H.S. and Pivello, V.R. (2013) Effects of fire regimes on herbaceous biomass and nutrient dynamics in the Brazilian savanna. International Journal of Wildland Fire, 22: 368-380.
• Otto, A., Otto, F.E.L., Boucher, O., Church, J., Hegerl, G., Forster, P.M., Gillett, N.P., Gregory, J., Johnson, G.C., Knutti, R., Lewis, N., Lohmann, U., Marotzke, J., Myhre, G., Shindell, D., Stevens, B. and Allen, M.R. (2013) Energy budget constraints on climate response. Nature Geoscience.
• Palsson, G., Szerszynski, B., Sörlin, S., Marks, J., Avril, B., Crumley, C., Hackmann, H., Holm, P., Ingram, J.S.I., Kirman, A., Buendía, M.P. and Weehuizen, R. (2013) Reconceptualizing the ‘Anthropos’ in the Anthropocene: Integrating the social sciences and humanities in global environmental change research. Environmental Science and Policy, 28: 3-13.
• Pangala, S.R., Moore, S., Hornibrook, E.R.C. and Gauci, V. (2013) Trees are major conduits for methane egress from tropical forested wetlands. New Phytologist, 197: 524-531.
• Pinto, L.F. and McDermott, C. (2013) Equity and forest certification - a case study in Brazil. Forest Policy and Economics, 30: 23-29.
• Preston, I., White, V., Thumim, J., Bridgeman, T. and Brand, C. (2013) Distribution of carbon emissions in the UK: implications for domestic energy policy. Joseph Rowntree Foundation, London. 135 pp.
• Rosenow, J. (2013) A short history of Energy Savings Obligations. Energy Action, 116: 20-21.
• Rosenow, J. (2013) Home energy efficiency policy in Germany and the UK. In, Urban, F., Nordensvard, J. (ed.) Low Carbon Development: Key Issues. Earthscan, Oxford.
• Rosenow, J. (2013) The Politics of the German CO2 Building Rehabilitation Programme. Energy Efficiency.
• Rosenow, J. and Galvin, R. (2013) Evaluating the Evaluations: evidence from energy efficiency programmes in Germany and the UK. Energy and Buildings.
• Rosenow, J. and Galvin, R. (2013) Evaluating the Evaluations: evidence from energy efficiency programmes in Germany and the UK. Energy and Buildings, 62: 450-458.
• Rosenow, J., Eyre, N., Buerger, V. and Rohde, C. (2013) Overcoming the upfront investment barrier - comparing the German CO2 Building Rehabilitation Programme and the British Green Deal. Energy and Environment, 24(1): 83-104.
• Saatchi, S., Asefi-Najafabady, S., Malhi, Y., Aragao, L.E.O.C., Anderson, L.O., Myneni, R.B. and Nemani, R. (2013) Persistent effects of a severe drought on Amazonian forest canopy. PNAS.
• Silva, F.B., Shimabukuro, Y.E., Aragao, L.E.O.C., Anderson, L.O., Pereira, G., Cardozo, F. and Arai, E. (2013) Large-scale heterogeneity of Amazonian phenology revealed from 26-year long AVHRR/NDVI time-series. Environmental Research Letters, 8(2).
• Suich, H. (2013) The effectiveness of economic incentives for sustaining community based natural resource management. Land Use Policy, 31: 441-449.
• Tacconi, L., Mahanty, S. and Suich, H. (2013) The livelihood impacts of payments for environmental services and implications for REDD. Society and Natural Resources.
• Tran, M. (2013) Future Energy Mix and Transport. In, Givoni, M. and Banister, D. (eds.) Moving Towards Low Carbon Mobility. Edward Elgar, London.
• Yu, C., Hall, J.W., Cheng, X. and Evans, E.P. (2013) Broad scale quantified flood risk analysis in the Taihu Basin, China. Journal of Flood Risk Management, 6(1): 57-68.