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ECI Publications 2006

ALLEN, M., ANDRONOVA, N., BOOTH, B., DESSAI, D., FRAME, D. J., FOREST, C., GREGORY, J., HEGERL, G., KNUTTI, R., PIANI, C., SEXTON, D. & STAINFORTH, D. A. (2006) Observational Constraints on Climate Sensitivity. Avoiding Dangerous Climate Change., Cambridge University Press.

ALLEN, M. R., FRAME, D. J., KETTLEBOROUGH, J. A. & STAINFORTH, D. A. (2006) Model error in weather and climate forecasting. IN HAGEDORN, T. P. R. (Ed.) Predictability in Weather and Climate. Cambridge University Press.

ARAGÃO, L. E. O. C., MALHI, Y., ALMEIDA, S., COSTA, A. C. L., GONÇALVES, P. H. L., BRAGA, A. P. & ATHAIDES, J. (In press) Aboveground litter dynamics in an ultra-fertile black earth soil in eastern amazonia. Forest Ecology and Management, Forthcoming.

ARAGÃO, L. E. O. C. & SHIMABUKURO, Y. E. (2006) Leaf area index estimations over the amazon: evaluation of modis mod15a2 product. IN RUDORFF, B., SHIMABUKURO, Y. E. & CEBALLOS, J. (Eds.) Applications of the MODIS/TERRA sensor in Brazil., Bookimage, São José dos Campos.

ARAGÃO, L. E. O. C. & SHIMABUKURO, Y. E. (2006) Leaf area index estimations over the amazon: evaluation of modis mod15a2 product. Book chapter (in protuguese). Applications of the MODIS/TERRA sensor in Brazil. IN ED. RUDORFF, B. S., Y.E. & CEBALLOS, J. EDITORA: BOOKIMAGE, SÃO JOSÉ DOS CAMPOS (Ed.).

ARAGÃO, L. E. O. C., SHIMABUKURO, Y. E., SANTO, F. D. B. E. & WILLIAMS, M. (2006) Meso-scale variability of soils and forest canopy properties is connected to geomorphologic features in eastern Amazonia. International Geoscience and Remote Sensing Simposium, IGRSS. 1-4.

ARAGÃO, L. E. O. C., SHIMABUKURO, Y. E., SANTO, F. D. B. E., WILLIAMS, M., CAMARGO, P. B., B., M. S. M. & T, S. (In press) Orographic variation and meso-scale heterogeneity of edaphic and canopy properties in an eastern amazonia landscape. Ecosystems, Forthcoming.

BERRY, P. M. & HARLEY, M. (2006) Climate change, biodiversity and regional policy development. English Nature report.

BERRY, P. M., ROUNSEVELL, M. D. A., HARRISON, P. A. & AUDSLEY, E. (2006) Assessing the vulnerability of agricultural land use and species to climate change and the role of policy in facilitating adaptation. Environmental Science & Policy, 9, 189-204.

BOARDMAN, B, Creating a virtuous circle for climate change with consumers, manufacturers and sufficiency Conference Paper, EEDAL (International Energy Efficiency in Domestic Appliances & Lighting Conference, 21-23 June 2006, London

BOARDMAN, B (2006) Housing and energy – the possibilities. In Blueprints for Green Homes: a housing & energy policy for the 21st century. Labour Housing Group, pp5-7

BOARDMAN, B, DREWE, D, Bring on the Bulldozer?, Green Futures (Exchange of Fire), March / April 2006, pp30-33

BOARDMAN, B (submitted), Examining the carbon agenda: the issues raised by a 40% housing stock, Building Research and Information

KEIRSTEAD J, Darby S, Boardman, B (2006) Response to Ofgem consultation on domestic metering innovation. March 2006

BOARDMAN, B. (In Press) Cloud Cockoo Britain. Parliamentary Brief, 10, 11-12.

BOARDMAN, B., C., J. & LIPP, J. (In Press) Green Electricity Code of Practice: A Scoping Study.

BOARDMAN, J. (In Press) Soil erosion science: reflections on the limitations of current approaches. Catena, Forthcoming.

BOARDMAN, J. (In Press) Soils and sustainability: the future of the South Downs. IN FISH, R., SEYMOUR, S., STEVEN, M. & WATKINS, C. (Eds.) Sustainable Farmland Management: New Transdisciplinary Approaches. CABI, Wallingford.

BOARDMAN, J. & BELL, M. G. (In Press) The impact of land use on accelerated erosion. Advances in Geoecology.

BOARDMAN, J. & EVANS, R. (In Press) Britain. IN BOARDMAN, J. & POESEN, J. (Eds.) Soil Erosion in Europe. Wiley, Chicheste.

BOARDMAN, J. & POESEN, J. (2006) Soil erosion across Europe: major processes, causes and consequences., Wiley, Chichester.

BOARDMAN, J., VERSTRAETEN, G. & BIELDERS, C. (In Press) Muddy floods. IN BOARDMAN, J. & J., P. (Eds.) Soil Erosion in Europe. Wiley, Chichester.

BOTTRILL, C. (2006) Are we wasting the web? Environmental Change Institute Report.

BRAND, C., PRESTON & BOARDMAN, B. (2006) Counting your carbon: the development and deployment of integrated travel emissions profiles. Final Research Report to the ESRC. Transport Studies Unit.

BUZAR, S. (2006) Hidden geographies of energy poverty in post-socialism: between institutions and households. Geoforum, forthcoming.

BUZAR, S. (2006) When homes become prisons: the relational spaces of post-socialist energy poverty. Environment and Planning A, forthcoming.

BUZAR, S., OGDEN, P. E., HALL, R., HAASE, A., KABISCH, S. & STEINFUEHRER, A. (2006) Splintering urban populations: emergent landscapes of reurbanisation in four European cities. Urban Studies . forthcoming.

CAIRNS, S., NEWSON, C., BOARDMAN, B. & ANABLE, J. (2006) Predict and decide: Aviation, climate change and UK policy. ECI Research Reports.

CLEMENT, C. R., KLÜPPEL, M. P., GERMAN, L. A., DE ALMEIDA, S. S., MAJOR, J., ARAGÃO, L. E. O. C., GUIX, J. C., LLERAS, E., WINKLERPRINS, A. M. G. A. & HECHT, S. B. (In Press) Diversidade vegetal em solos antropicos da amazonia.

COONEY, R. & JEPSON, P. (2006) The international wild bird trade: what's wrong with blanket bans? Oryx, 40, 18-23.

DARBY, S. (2006) The effectiveness of feedback on energy consumption:. a review for DEFRA of the literature on metering, billing and direct displays.

DARBY, S. (2006) Social learning and public policy: Lessons from an energy-consious village. Energy Policy, 34, 2929 - 2940.

DAWSON, T. E., BURGESS, S. S. O., TU, K. P., OLIVEIRA, R. S., SANTIAGO, L. S., FISHER, J. B., SIMONIN, K. S. & AMBROSE, A. R. (2006) Nighttime transpiration in woody plants from contrasting ecosystems. Tree Physiology.

DEL BARRIO, G., HARRISON, P. A., BERRY, P. M. & BUTT, N. (2006) Impacts of climate change on species' distributions in a temperate and a Mediterranean area: comparison and implications for policy. Environmental Science and Policy, 9, 129-147.

DEL BARRIO, G., HARRISON, P. A., BERRY, P. M., BUTT, N., SANJUAN, M. E., PEARSON, R. G. & DAWSON, T. (2006) Integrating multiple modelling approaches to predict the potential impacts of climat change on species' distributions in contrasting regions: comparison and implications for policy. Environmental Science and Policy, 129-147.

EHLMAN, B. L. & CRISS, R. E. (2006) Enhanced stage and stage variability on the lower Missouri River benchmarked by Lewis and Clark. Geology, 34, 977-980.

FEW, R., BROWN, K. & TOMPKINS, E. L. (In Press) Climate change and coastal management decisions: insights from Christchurch Bay, UK. Coastal Management.

FIRTH, J. & COLLEY, M. (2006) The Adaptation Tipping Point: Are UK Businesses Climate-proof? . Oxford., Acclimatise and UKCIP.

FISHER, J. B., BALDOCCHI, D. D., MISSON, L., DAWSON, T. E. & GOLDSTEIN, A. H. (2006) What the towers don't see at night: Nocturnal sap flow in trees and shrubs at two AmeriFlux sites in California. Tree Physiology.

FISHER, J. B., KELLY, N. M. & ROMM, J. (2006) Scales of environmental justice: Combining GIS and spatial data analysis for air toxics in West Oakland, California. . Health & Place, 12, 701-714.

FISHER, J. B., TRULIO, L. A., BIGING, G. & CHROMCZAK, D. (2006) An analysis of spatial clustering and the implications to wildlife management: A burrowing owl example. . Environmental Management.

FRAME, D. J. (2006) Inductive reasoning in climate science. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society, submitted.

FRAME, D. J., STONE, D. A., STOTT, P. A. & ALLEN, M. R. (2006) Alternatives to Climate Sensitivity. Geophysical Research Letters.

HAMILTON, A., DURBECK, K. & LAWRENCE, A. (2006) Towards a sustainable harvest: A work in hand. Plant Talk, 43, 32-35.

HARRISON, P. A., BERRY, P. M., BUTT, N. & NEW, M. (2006) Modelling climate change impacts on species'distributions at the European scale: implications for conservation policy. Environmental Science and Policy, 9, 116-128.

HEGERL, G. C., CROWLEY, T. J., HYDE, W. T. & FRAME, D. J. (2006) Estimating climate sensitivity from paleoclimatic records of the last millennium,. Nature, 440.

HELMING, K., RUBIO, J. L. & BOARDMAN, J. (In Press) Soil erosion across Europe: research approaches and perspectives. Catena.

HEPBURN, C. (2006) Valuing the far-off future: discounting and its alternatives',. IN ATKINSON, G., DIETZ, S. & NEUMAYER, E. (Eds.) Handbook of Sustainable Development,. forthcoming.

HEPBURN, C. & GROOM, B. (2006) Gamma discounting and expected net future value. Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, (forthcoming).

HEPBURN, C. & GROOM, B. (2006) Regulation by prices, quantities or both: an update and an overview. Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 22, 226-247.

HEPBURN, C., GRUBB, M., NEUHOFF, K., MATTHES, F. & TSE, M. (2006) Auctioning of EU ETS Phase II allowances: how and why? Climate Policy, 6, 137-160.

HEPBURN, C. & KOUNDOURI, P. (2006) Recent advances in discounting: implications for forest economics. Journal of Forest Economics, (forthcoming).

HEPBURN, C., KOUNDOURI, P., PANOPOULOU, E. & PANTELIDIS, T. (2006) Social discounting under uncertainty: a cross country comparison. submitted.

HEPBURN, C., QUAH, J. & RITZ, R. (2006) 'Emissions trading and profit-neutral grandfathering',. in progress.

IRONS, B. & HEPBURN, C. (2006) Regret theory and the tyranny of choice. Economic Record, (forthcoming).

KEAY-BRIGHT, J. & BOARDMAN, J. (2006) Changes in the distribution of degraded land over time in the central Karoo, South Africa. Catena, 67, 1-14.

KEAY-BRIGHT, J. & BOARDMAN, J. (2006) Evidence from field based studies of rates of erosion on degraded land in the central Karoo, South Africa. Geomorphology, Forthcoming.

KEAY-BRIGHT, J. & BOARDMAN, J. (2006) The influence of land management on soil erosion in the Sneeuberg mountains, central Karoo, South Africa. Land Degradation and Development, Forthcoming.

KEAY-BRIGHT, J., WASHINGTON, R. & BOARDMAN, J. (2006) Changes in past and future climate in the Sneeuberg Mountains, Great Karoo, South Africa. Climate Research., Forthcoming.

KNUTTI, R., MEEHL, G., ALLEN, M. R. & STAINFORTH, D. A. (2006) Constraining climate sensitivity from the seasonal cycle in surface temperature. Journal of Climate.

LAWRENCE, A. (2006) No Personal Motive?’ Volunteers, Biodiversity, and the False Dichotomies of Participation. Ethics, Place and Environment, 9, 279-298.

LAWRENCE, A. & HAWTHORNE, W. (2006) Plant identification, conservation and management: methods for producing user-friendly field guides, London: Earthscan.

LAWRENCE, A., PAUDEL, K., BARNES, R. & MALLA, R. (In Press) Adaptive value of participatory biodiversity monitoring in community forestry, Nepal Environmental Conservation.

LIVERMAN, D. M. (2006) Survival into the future in the face of climate change. Chapter 8 in Survival: the 2006 Darwin lectures., Cambridge University Press.

LIVERMAN, D. M. & VILAS, S. (2006) Neoliberalism and the environment in Latin America. Annual Review of Environment and Resources., forthcoming.

LOPEZ, A., TEBALDI, C., NEW, M., STAINFORTH, D. A., ALLEN, M. & KETTLEBOROUGH, J. (2006) Two approaches to quantifying uncertainty in global temperature changes under different forcing scenarios. Journal of Climate.

MASSEY, N., AINA, T., ALLEN, M., CHRISTENSEN, C., FRAME, D. J., GOODMAN, D., KETTLEBOROUGH, J., MARTIN, A., PASCOE, S. & STAINFORTH, D. A. (2006) Data access and analysis with distributed federated data servers in climateprediction.net. Advances in Geosciences.

MCEVOY, D., HANDLEY, J. F., CAVAN, G., AYLEN, J., LINDLEY, S., MCMORROW, J. & GLYNN, S. (2006) Climate change and the visitor economy: challenges and opportunities for England's Northwest. UKCIP Report. Sustainability, Northwest.

METCALFE, D. B., ARAGÃO, L. E. O. C., DA COSTA, A. L., BRAGA, A., GONCALVES, P. H. L., DE ATHAYDES, J., DAWSON, L. A., WILLIAMS, M., MALHI, Y. & MEIR, P. (In Press) Root responses to soil moisture variation at an eastern amazon forest. New Phytologist, Forthcoming.

MORTON, D. C., DEFRIES, R. S., SHIMABUKURO, Y. E., ANDERSON, L. O., ARAI, E., DEL BON ESPIRITO-SANTO, F., FREITAS, R. & MORISETTE, J. (On-line published September 14, 2006.) Cropland expansion changes deforestation dynamics in the southern Brazilian Amazon. PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCE OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA.

MÜLLER, B. & HEPBURN, C. (2006) IATAL — an outline proposal for an International Air Travel Adaptation Levy. Oxford Institute for Energy Studies.

PALMER, J. (2006) Reducing the environmental impact of housing. Final report to the Royal Commission on Environmental Pollution.

PARKS, B. C. & ROBERTS, J. T. (2006) Globalization, Vulnerability to Climate Change, and Perceived Injustice in the South. Society and Natural Resources., 19, 337-355.

PEREGORARO, E., REY, A., BARRON-GAFFORD, G., MONSON, R., MALHI, Y. & MURTHY, R. (2006) The interacting effects of elevated atmospheric CO2 concentration, drought and leaf-to-air vapour pressure deficit on ecosystem isoprene fluxes. Oecologia, 146, 120-129.

PONGRATZ, J., BOUNOUA, L., DEFRIES, R. S., C. MORTON, D. C., ANDERSON, L. O., MAUSER, W. & KLINK, C. A. (2006) The impact of land cover change on surface energy and water balance in Mato Grosso, Brazil. Earth Interactions.

PONGRATZ, J., BOUNOUA, L., DEFRIES, R. S., MORTON, D. C., ANDERSON, L. O., MAUSER, W. & KLINK, C. (2006) The impact of land cover change on surface energy and water balance in Mato Grosso, Brazil. Earth Interactions, 10, 1–17.

ROBERTS, J. T. (2006) Globalizing Environmental Justice: Trend and Imperative. IN SANDLER, R. & PEZZULLO, P. C. (Eds.) Environmental Justice and Environmentalism: The Social Justice Challenge to the Environmental Movement. MIT Press.

ROBERTS, J. T. & HITE, A. (2006) The Globalization and Development Reader: Perspectives on Development and Social Change (Second Edition), Blackwell Publishers.

ROBERTS, J. T. & PARKS, B. C. (2006) A Climate Of Injustice: Global Inequality, North-South Politics, and Climate Policy., MIT Press.

ROMÁN-CUESTA, R. M. & MARTÍNEZ-VILALTA. (2006) Effectivenes of protected areas in mitigating fire within their boundaries: case study of Chiapas, Mexico. Conservation Biology, 20, 1074-108.

ROOT, T. L., LIVERMAN, D. M. & NEWMAN, C. (2006) Managing biodiversity in the light of climate change: current biological effects and future impacts in Macdonald, D. . Conservation Biology.

ROUNSEVELL, M. D. A., BERRY, P. M. & HARRISON, P. A. (2006) Future environmental change impacts on rural land use and biodiversity: a synthesis of the ACCELERATES project. Environmental Science and Policy, 9, 93-100.

SILVA JÚNIOR, J. A., COSTA, A. C. L., GONÇALVES, P. H. L., BRAGA, A. P., MALHI, Y., ARAGÃO, L. E. O. C., MEIR, P. & COSTA, R. F. (In Press) Micrometeorological interactions at a mangrove ecosystem in the equatorial region-para-Brazil (In Portuguese). Brazilian Journal of Meteorology,, Forthcoming.

SMALE, R., GRUBB, M., HARTLEY, M., HEPBURN, C. & WARD, J. (2006) Emissions, firm profits and market prices: the consequences from emissions trading. Climate Policy, 6, 29-46.

STAINFORTH, D. A., ALLEN, M. R., FRAME, D. J. & PIANI, C. (2006) Risks Associated with Stabilisation Scenarios and Uncertainty in Regional and Global Climate Change Impacts",. Avoiding Dangerous Climate Change., Cambridge University Press,.

VILLELA, D. M., NASCIMENTO, M. T., ARAGÃO, L. E. O. C. & GAMA, D. M. (2006) Effect of selective logging on forest structure and nutrient cycling in a seasonally dry brazilian atlantic forest Journal of Biogeography, 33, 516-2006.

WARWICK, C. (2006) Balancing water supply and the environment. Parliamentary Office of Science and Technology Postnote.

WOOD, P., BERRY, P. M. & LONSDALE, K. (2006) Future Landscape Scenarios around Little Wittenham, South Oxfordshire. Report to the Northmoor Trust.