Dr Neil Massey


Research Groups


Dr Neil Massey



Neil joined the ECI in 2014 to work on the CREDIBLE project and the EUCLEIA project. He also advises on the climate modelling aspects of the MaRIUS project.

Under the CREDIBLE project, Neil is producing a comprehensive and seamless timeseries of climate variable data from 1899 to 2100 over the UK, for both the RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios. These projections take into account the uncertainty in the global mean temperature response to the greenhouse gas forcings in the CMIP5 ensemble.

Under the EUCLEIA project, Neil is investigating the sensitivity of extreme event attribution statements to the structure of the experimental design, climate model and analysis.

Neil has worked on the climateprediction.net project for over 10 years was responsible for coordinating the launch of weather@home (w@h) in 2010. weather@home is the only regional climate modelling system that is run on citizen scientist’s home computers, and is capable of producing many thousands of years of regional weather.

Neil is the producer and maintainer of OxPEWWES – the Oxford Probabilistic European Winter Windstorm Event Set. This uses the output from w@h to produce a probabilistic event set of potential winter windstorm events over Europe for 1986 to 2010. Windstorm events are identified in the w@h output and the peak 3 second gust over 72 hours is recorded as a windstorm footprint. Due to the large ensembles that are possible under w@h, there are over 80,000 potential windstorms in the OxPEWWES catalogue.

Neil previously was a member of the Smith School for Enterprise and the Environment from 2010 to 2013, and studied for his DPhil in Atmospheric, Oceanic and Planetary Physics from 2005 to 2009. Prior to this he was part of the Computing Lab (now Department of Computing Science) from 2003 to 2004.


  • Añel, J.A., López-Moreno, J.I., Otto, F.E.L., Vicente-Serrano, S., Schaller, N., Massey, N., Buisán, S.T. and Allen, M.R. (2014) The extreme snow accumulation in the western Spanish Pyrenees during winter and spring 2013. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 95(9).
  • Huntingford, C., Marsh, T., Scaife, A.A., Kendon, E., Hannaford, J., Kay, A., Lockwood, M., Prudhomme, C., Reynard, N., Parry, S., Lowe, J., Screen, J., Ward, H., Roberts, M., Stott, P., Bell, V., Bailey, M., Jenkins, A., Legg, T., Otto, F.E.L., Massey, N., Schaller, N., Slingo, J. and Allen, M.R. (2014) Potential influences on the United Kingdom's floods of winter 2013/14. Nature Climate Change, 4: 769-777.
  • Schaller, N., Otto, F., van Oldenborgh, G.J., Massey, N., Sparrow, S. (2014) The heavy precipitation event of May-June 2013 in the upper Danube and Elbe basins. In, Explaining Extremes of 2013 from a Climate Perspective. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 95 no.9. pp. 69-72.

Massey, N, (2012). Feature tracking on the hierarchical equal area triangular mesh. COMPUTERS and GEOSCIENCES, 44, 42-51

N Massey, T Aina, C Rye, FEL Otto, S Wilson, RG Jones, MR Allen (2012) Have the odds of warm November temperatures and of cold December temperatures in Central England changed. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 93, 1057-1059

Otto, F. E. L., Massey, N., van Oldenborgh, G. J., Jones, R. G. & Allen, M. R. Reconciling two approaches to attribution of the 2010 Russian heat wave. Geophys. Res. Lett. 39(4)

D.J. Rowlands, D.J. Frame, D. Ackerley, T. Aina, B.B.B. Booth, C. Christensen, M. Collins, N. Faull, C.E. Forest, B.S. Grandey, E. Gryspeerdt, E.J. Highwood, W.J. Ingram, S. Knight, A. Lopez, N. Massey, F. McNamara, N. Meinshausen, C. Piani, S.M. Rosier, B.M. Sanderson, L.A. Smith, D.A. Stone, M. Thurston, K. Yamazaki, H. Yamazaki & M.R. Allen (2012) Broad range of 2050 warming from an observationally constrained large climate model ensemble. Nature Geoscience, 2012. Doi:10.1038/NGEO1430.

Rupp DE,; Mote PW,; Massey M,; Rye CJ,; Jones R,; Allen MR. (2012) Did human influence on climate make the 2011 Texas drought more probable? Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 93 (7): 1052–1054.


Knight, N. Massey, T. Aina, C. Christensen, D. J. Frame, J. A. Kettleborough, A. Martin, S. Pascoe, B. Sanderson, D. A. Stainforth, M. R. Allen, Association of parameter, software and hardware variation with large scale behavior. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 104 (30), 12259–12264 July 2007. Doi:10.1073/pnas.0608144104.


N. Massey, T. Aina, M. Allen, C. Christensen, D. Frame, D. Goodman, J. Kettleborough, A. Martin, S. Pascoe & D. Stainforth. (2006) Data access and analysis with distributed federated data servers in climateprediction.net. Advances in Geosciences 8 (2006) 49-56.