Presentation Downloads
The conference contained 35 oral presentation and 18 poster presentations. All available presentations and audio recordings are below. A selection of the keynote presentations are available to watch in video format via iTunesU. Watch the videos (Please note, you will need iTunes on your computer for this to work).
Oral presentations last approximately 20 minutes.
Download a full programme, including detailed timings.
Session 1, Conference Opening
Chair: Dr Mark New Audio
Prof John SchellnhuberPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research | Terra quasi-incognita: beyond the 2°C line | Slides | Audio Video |
Dr Richard BettsMet Office Hadley Centre | Regional climate changes at 4+°C | Slides | Audio Video |
Prof Nigel ArnellUniversity of Reading | 4+°C: impacts across the global scale | Slides | Audio Video |
Session 2, Agriculture, Food and Water Security 1
Chair: Prof Diana Liverman
Dr Philip Thornton International Livestock Research Institute, Nairobi; Institute of Atmospheric and Environmental Sciences, University of Edinburgh | 4+°C: what might this mean for agriculture in sub-Saharan Africa? | Slides | Audio Video |
Dr Polly Ericksen GECAFS / ECI, University of Oxford | Adapting African food systems to a 4+°C world | Slides | Audio Video |
Dr Reimund Rotter MTT Agrifood Research Finland | What would happen to barley production in Finland if global temperature increases above 4+°C? | Slides | Audio Video |
Mr Rasack NayamuthMauritius Sugar Industry Research Institute | 4+°C: A Drastic reduction in the renewable energy potential of sugarcane | Slides | Audio Video |
Session 3, Agriculture, Food and Water Security 2
Chair: Prof Nigel Arnell
Dr Andrew ChallinorUniversity of Leeds | Crop yields at 4+°C: implications for adaptation | Slides | Audio |
Dr Fai Fung Tyndall Centre, University of Oxford | Risked posed to global water availability by a 4+°C climate change | Slides | Audio coming soon |
Dr Matthew Charlton Walker Institute | Limits to adaptation: implications of global temperature changes beyond 4+°C for water supply in southern England | Slides | Audio coming soon |
Prof Anders Levermann Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research | Basic mechanism for abrupt monson transitions | Slides | Audio |
Session 4, Ecosystems and Ecosystem Services
Chair: Dr Mark New
Prof Yadvinder Malhi Environmental Change Insitute, School of Geography and the Environment, University of Oxford | Tropical forests in a 4+°C world | Slides | Audio |
Prof Wolfgang Cramer Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research | Changing climate, land use and fire in Amazonia under high warming scenarios | Slides | Audio |
Prof Andy Moffat Forest Research | Living with uncertainty – UK forestry beyond 4+°C | Slides | Audio |
Jose MarengoEarth System Science Centre/National Institute for Space Research, Brazil | Projected impacts of 4+°C warming in the semiarid lands of northeast Brazil | Slides | Audio |
Session 5: Vulnerable People and Places 1
Chair: Dr Chris West
Dr Pier VellingaWageningen University | Sea level rise and impacts in a 4+°C World | Slides | Audio |
Prof Stefan RahmstorfPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research | Sea-level rise in a 4°C world | Slides | Audio |
Diogo de GusmaoMet Office Hadley Centre | Sea level rise projections for the warmest IPCC SRES simulations | Slides | Audio |
| Prof Robert Nicholls Sally Brown University of Southampton | Impacts of sea-level rise at 4+°C | Slides | Audio |
Dr Jochen HinkelPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research | The impacts of sea-level rise on coastal nations with and without mitigation. An application of the DIVA and IMAGE models | Slides | Audio |
Session 6: Vulnerable People and Places 2
Chair: Dr Richard Betts
Prof David KarolyUniversity of Melbourne | Wildfire in a 4+°C World | Slides | Audio |
Dr Simon Hales World Health Organisation | Estimating human population health impacts in a 4+°C world | Slides | Audio |
Dr Francois Gemenne Sciences Po Paris | Climate-Induced Population Displacements in a 4+°C World | Slides | Audio |
Dr Pamela McElweeArizona State University | Social Vulnerability and Adaptation Possibilities for Vietnam in a 4+°C World | Slides | Audio |
Session 7, Panel Discussion
4°C of climate change: alarmist or realist?Audio
Prof Diana Liverman, Mark Lynas, Dr Kevin Anderson, Dr Chris West, Ian Noble and James Painter
Session 8, Adaptation
Chair: Prof Diana Liverman
Prof Leonard SmithLondon School of Economics | One, Two, Three, More: Challenges to Describing a Warmer World | Slides | Audio |
Dr Mark Stafford SmithCSIRO | How adaptation decision-making is affected by the potential for 4+°C | Slides | Audio |
Dr Michael MorecroftNatural England | Nature conservation in a 4+°C world - a luxury or a necessity? | Slides | Audio |
Ms Lisa HorrocksAEA | The implications of 4+°C warming for adaptation strategies in the UK: time to change? | Slides | Audio |
Session 9: Avoiding Large Climate Changes
Chair: Prof Diana Liverman
Dr Jason LoweThe Met Office | 4+°C: the emissions reduction challenge | Slides not available | Audio not available |
Dr Myles AllenDepartment of Physics, University of Oxford | What will it take to avoid 2, 3 and 4+°C? the importance of cumulative emissions | Slides | Audio |
Dr Rob SwartWageningen University and Research Centre | Beyond 4°C: should we reconsider our options? | Slides | Audio |
Ms Holly PrestonDalton Research Institute, Manchester Metropolitan University | The role of international transportation sectors in climate stabilization | Slides | Audio |
Session 10: Avoiding Large Climate Changes 2
Chair: Dr Mark New
Prof Kevin AndersonTyndall Centre for Climate Change Research | Global emission pathways: balancing Annex 1 mitigation with non-Annex 1 development | Slides | Audio |
Prof Bertrand GuillaumeUniversity of Technology or Troyes | Avoiding a 4+°C world: A challenge for democracy | Slides | Audio |
Dr Hari Dulal The World Bank | Greenhouse Gas Contributions and Mitigation Potential of Agriculture: Creating Incentives within the Existing Carbon Trading Agreements | Slides | Audio |
Poster Sessions
Agriculture, water and food security
Prof. Raul Ponce-HernandezTrent University | A model-based approach to predicting the effects of global warming four degrees and beyond on ecosystem primary productivity, land degradatoin and food security at national scale: Case Study Ethiopia |
Dr. Helena KahiluotoAgrifood Research Finland | Implications of 4+°C global warming on potential of carbon trading for mitigation and food security - analytical framework and an Ethiopian case |
Dr. Yasuaki HijiokaNational Institute for Environmental Studies | Implications of 4° in Japan. -- Quantitative analysis of sectoral impacts of climate change in Japan using an integrated assessment model, AIM/Impact[Policy] |
Mr. Jens HeinkePotsdam-Institute for Climate Impact Research | Implications for Global Water Availability of Extreme Global Warming Scenarios |
Mr. Robert McSweeneyAtkins Water & Environment, and University of East Anglia | The implications of a 4° rise in global mean temperature for water resources in south east England |
Ecosystems and ecosystem services
Dr. Humphrey CrickNatural England | Ecosystem-based conservation in a 4+°C world |
Dr. Elena ParfenovaForest Institute | Conifer trees of the South Siberia Mountains in a changing climate of XXI Century |
Dr. Stephan A. PietschBOKU University of Naturalö Resources and Applied Life Sciences | 4+°C: Ecosystem Resilience and Predictability |
Mr. Przemyslaw ZelazowskiUniversity of Oxford | The influence of variation in climate simulations on the simulated response of tropical forests to a global 4 degrees warming |
Vulnerable people and places
Dr. Matthew EamesUniversity of Exeter | Predicting temperatures within buildings and the heat stress on occupants under substantial climate change |
Prof. Clive HamiltonAustralian National University/Yale University | Adaptive Coping Strategies in a 4+°C World |
Mr. Abdeltif El OuahraniUniversity Abdelmalek Essaadi | Climate Change and Mediterranean region: vulnerability and opportunities |
Dr. Gernot BrodnigWorld Bank | A View From the Top: Vulnerability and Adaptation in Mountain Systems |
Dr. Sally BrownUniversity of Southampton | Sea level response and impacts to a 1°C to 7°C temperature rise by 2100 |
Avoiding large climate changes
Mr. Markus HagemanEcofys GmbH | The role of sectoral characteristics in designing mechanism for participation of developing countries |
Dr. Robin HickmanOxford University | Backcasting for low carbon transport |
Dr. Jasper KnightUniversity of Exeter | Landscape responses to future climate change in glaciated mountains |
Dr. Katja FrielerPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) | Applications of pattern scaling for probabilistic assessment of regional climate impacts |
For enquiries, please contact the Conference Events Manager, Maria Mansfield: events@eci.ox.ac.uk


